Macron and Le Pen both qualify for Round 2
For the first time ever under the 5th Republic, neither the Socialists nor the conservative Right will be in the 2nd Round.
Different analyses from the 2 major polling organisations at 20:00 –
Ipsos on France 2 gives Macron 23.7% and Le Pen 21.7%
Unfortunately, the vast majority of French people who watch TV will be watching TF1 where Sofres give both Macron and Le Pen 23%.
Ipsos says that both Fillon and Mélenchon will end up with 19.5%, while Sofres gives them both 19%. Hamon is initially forecast to end up with an awful 6.2%, only just ahead of Dupont-Aignan (the man who walked off his TF1 interview) who is on 5%.
Baroin, Fillon’s non-PM, says that he will vote Macron in Round 2.