It’s Euro-Election time!

In under two weeks, a deeply-indifferent France will finally arrive at the moment not too many care about. The 9th set of Euro-Elections for the little-loved European Parliament. Few, excepting those directly involved, ever get really excited by Euro-Elections. However, pollsters Ifop-Fiducial say half the electorate declare themselves ‘interested’, with 20% having ‘lots’ of interest. Really? Maybe ‘academic’ interest? Polls consistently tell us that barely 40% … Continue reading It’s Euro-Election time!

Within a very few days French politics will be profoundly different. And then comes the difficult bit.

Random numbers 1 – just one triangulaire with 3 candidates in Sunday’s run-off election (34 in 2012) 2 – every 2nd voter … didn’t vote. Since 2002 – and the creation of the 5 year Presidency with Legislative Elections straight after the Presidential – the abstention level has accelerated:  2002 36%; 2007 40%; 2012 43%; 2017 51.3% 3 – an element tarnishing Macron’s horizon is that … Continue reading Within a very few days French politics will be profoundly different. And then comes the difficult bit.

Day 8 – It (definitely) ain’t over. The gap is narrowing.

‘30% of all voters want Le Pen to win and 17% don’t care about the result’ (BVA 26-28 April). ‘Actually, only 47% of potential electors have definitely chosen to vote for Macron with 33% for Le Pen … the others are still hesitating between the two or a blank ballot paper … the gap can still considerably narrow’ (Odoxa 26-27 April) Continue reading Day 8 – It (definitely) ain’t over. The gap is narrowing.